A recent viral post on social media has reignited discussions about an anonymous prediction that allegedly foresaw many of Bitcoin’s (BTC) price points between 2019 and 2024. The image widely shared in crypto circles boldly forecasts a $145,000 target for October 2026. But significant doubts about the authenticity and provenance of the data and image remain unresolved.
Source integrity cannot be verified
The circulated screenshot was posted by the crypto account Corleone, claiming to be an anonymous 4chan-style post from December 20, 2018. In the image, a certain group is said to control around 90% of Bitcoin’s total supply, and a series of price targets from October 2019 through October 2026 are listed.
At first glance, these predictions appear very accurate. For instance, Bitcoin traded near $67,000 in November 2021 and fell to roughly $16,000 during the bear market lows in November 2022. These coincidences helped the post capture rapid attention online.
The predictions do seem strikingly accurate on the surface, but several issues make it difficult to consider this post as genuine and reliable documentation.
The main problem is the absence of a verifiable archive link, user identifier, or any traceable indicator that could connect the predictions to a specific individual. Given 4chan’s inherently anonymous structure, without an archived source, it’s impossible to prove these forecasts were made before the events they reference occurred.
Key differences in image versions
A Binance Square post from July 2024 contained the same claim of “holding about 90% of total supply” and similar targets. However, in this earlier version, the Bitcoin price was listed as $105,400 for September 2024.
In the newer viral image, the September 2024 target has changed to $74,000, with a new $145,000 goal for October 2026 added. This evolution raises suspicions that the image or the entire list of predictions may have been altered over time to better fit Bitcoin’s actual price trends.
The notable gap between the old and new versions is considered a strong red flag suggesting the post may have been edited or reconstructed over time.
Market cap math doesn’t add up
The viral chart also claims that these predictions would yield a $5.7 trillion market capitalization for Bitcoin, with BTC dominance between 40% and 47%. However, if Bitcoin reached $145,000 and with an estimated circulating supply of 20 million, the market cap would be roughly $2.9 trillion. Even using the theoretical maximum of 21 million coins, it would only total around $3.05 trillion.
Thus, if $5.7 trillion was intended as Bitcoin’s market cap, it is mathematically inconsistent. If it refers to the total cryptocurrency market, the language is ambiguous, further undermining the credibility of the post.
The 90% supply claim falls short of on-chain data
Another contentious claim in the post is that a single group holds around 90% of the total BTC supply. Currently, the circulating supply is about 20.04 million out of a possible 21 million coins. Thus, controlling 90% would require holding around 18 million BTC.
But according to Bitinfocharts, the 100 largest Bitcoin addresses hold only about 15.27% of total supply, while the top 10,000 addresses control approximately 53.89%. Bitinfocharts is recognized for tracking blockchain distribution and wealth rankings through address analysis.
This data shows the viral claim of 90% concentration is not supported by actual on-chain figures. Therefore, the notion that an anonymous 4chan poster accurately predicted major Bitcoin price moves through 2026 remains unproven at best.
