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As of June 4, Bitcoin 
$104,938 prices faced strong buyer reactions at the $104,000 – $105,000 level. Technical indicators suggest a short-term shake, followed by potential new highs. Historically, a “golden cross” often leads to a roughly 10% drop, a brief pullback aimed at shedding weak players. Similar patterns in February 2021 and March 2024 suggest the recent 8% correction could be a typical “breathing pause.” The crucial question remains whether the $105,000 level will hold, opening the path to targets of $110,000 and potentially $140,000 – $150,000. Failure to maintain this level could see a short dip to $90,000 – $95,000.
The Historical Decline Model Post Golden Cross
In February 2021, a “golden cross” triggered by the 50-day moving average crossing the 200-day upward resulted in a 10% Bitcoin dip, which soon ignited a record rise. Similarly, after an 11% drop in March 2024, prices surged to $115,000. Experts highlight that major players use these short pullbacks to “shake out” weaker investors, leading to a more stable market foundation.
Although below $105,000, attempts for liquidity hunting are evident, the $100,000 psychological support remains strong. Even if the downtrend accelerates, the long-term rising trend line from the $92,000 low in December 2024 is expected to be effective around $95,000. Therefore, for the long-term bullish outlook to deteriorate, the value loss must deepen significantly.
Moreover, on-chain data indicates a significant outflow of Bitcoin from exchanges around $104,000, with long-term wallets continuing to accumulate. To maintain a lasting sell-off, macro risks need simultaneous triggers, despite the historical decline model possibly being active again.
Experts’ Bitcoin Analysis and Insights
Experts suggest that if Bitcoin sustains above $105,000, breaking the $110,000 threshold could amplify the FOMO effect. The target might extend beyond $140,000, possibly reaching $150,000. Fibonacci extension levels also highlight this region. In such a scenario, Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH) 
$2,399, and Solana 
$143 (SOL) may lead, while altcoins like Cardano 
$0.580834 (ADA) and XRP might rise as risk appetite increases.
If prices dip below $100,000, a limited pullback to $95,000 is anticipated. Should dip buyers emerge here, the market might rapidly transition into a known recovery cycle. In this scenario, cautious risk management is crucial when holding leveraged positions, including reducing holdings in low-cap altcoin portfolios and clearly setting profit/loss levels.
Investors without positions may consider gradual entry tactics on pullbacks. Those with an average cost above $110,000 can employ a planned gradual addition or take-profit strategy to avoid emotional decisions.
