Economist and trader Alex Krüger expressed a positive outlook for Bitcoin $94,774, even though it is trading about 14% below its historical peak. He indicated that Bitcoin has significant upward potential in the future and is still far from reaching its cycle peak.
Impact of New ETFs on the Market
Krüger suggested that the approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January 2024 could lead to Bitcoin ceasing to follow its four-year cycles around halving events. He noted that this could make the correlation between Bitcoin and risk more sustainable.
Super Cycle and Market Conditions
Krüger clarified that a super cycle does not solely imply upward trends. He stated, “It means we will have shorter corrections. If stocks and the economy are doing well, this is usually the case. The pullbacks will be smaller and shorter.”
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $93,134, about 10% lower than the expected target of around $102,000 in 2025. Krüger linked this current state of Bitcoin to the anticipation of a super cycle.
He emphasized that with the entry of ETFs into the market, the impact of the halving event on Bitcoin has diminished, altering the market conditions. He believes this change will positively influence Bitcoin’s future performance.
The economist stated that if market conditions improve, Bitcoin could gain value more steadily. However, he acknowledged that this would depend on market fluctuations and economic factors.
The Bitcoin community and traders are keeping a close eye on Krüger’s insights as they monitor Bitcoin’s future movements. His analyses indicate that innovations in the Bitcoin market and economic changes present important signals for traders. Entering a super cycle could offer potential opportunities for long-term investors.