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Bitcoin (BTC) continues its impressive rise, now only 12% away from its all-time high of $69,000, capturing the attention of the world. Following this price movement of the largest cryptocurrency, analysts monitoring market momentum indicators have started advising short-term investors to be cautious.
Relative Strength Index Indicator Signals Overbought Territory
According to The Market Ear analysts, Bitcoin‘s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has reached overbought levels, suggesting the potential for a temporary price correction. The RSI, a momentum indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder, measures the speed and change of price movements over a set period, typically 14 days. Technically, while the RSI serves as a valuable indicator, it’s important to acknowledge that markets can maintain upward momentum for extended periods, challenging traditional signals of overbought conditions.
An RSI level above 70 indicates overbought conditions, suggesting that the asset’s price may have risen too quickly and could potentially fall in the short term. The Market Ear analysts point to Bitcoin’s current price levels and an extremely high RSI level of 88, warning against following the rally at this point.
Analysts note that while Bitcoin is trading above $60,000, the RSI has never reached such high levels before, adding weight to the overbought signal. In previous instances when Bitcoin traded above $60,000, the RSI peaked between 65 and 75.
Everything Looks Positive for Long-Term Investors
Although short-term investors should be cautious about the signals from the RSI, long-term investors need to continue focusing on the bigger picture. For investors who adopt a buy-and-hold strategy, short-term price movements are of lesser importance.
Long-term investors can continue to focus on Bitcoin’s long-term growth potential, fueled by factors such as the upcoming fourth halving of block rewards, which cuts supply increase by 50% every four years, and the increasing acceptance of spot Bitcoin ETFs by Wall Street.
Despite cautionary views on short-term trading, analysts remain bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. The consensus among experts is that Bitcoin could reach a price level exceeding $120,000 by September 2025, driven by factors such as block reward halving and increased institutional adoption. While short-term price movements can pose some challenges for investors, there is an optimistic outlook for BTC‘s trajectory in the coming years.
