As always on Sundays, we are discussing the critical developments of the upcoming week. What can we expect from the markets? For cryptocurrency investors, macro developments have become increasingly critical in the past 2 years. The transition to tight monetary policies on a global scale and the appreciation of the US dollar worldwide have had a negative impact on Bitcoin and other risk assets.
Critical Developments for Cryptocurrencies
In the final hours of the week, inflation data was released and it was in line with expectations. The announcement of core inflation below expectations at 4.8% was quite positive. However, we should not forget that due to the base effect, the rate of decline may slow down even more over time. So, what can cryptocurrency investors expect in the next 7 days?
July 17, Monday
- 05:00 China GDP (Expectation: 7.3% Previous: 4.5%)
- 05:00 China Industrial Production (Expectation: 2.7% Previous: 3.5%)
- Ethereum Community Conference (EthCC)
- APE Token Launch ($31.67 million)
July 18, Tuesday
- 15:30 US Core Retail Sales (Monthly Expectation: 0.3% Previous: 0.1%)
- 17:00 Fed/Barr Speech
July 19, Wednesday
- 09:00 UK CPI (Expectation: 8.2% Previous: 8.7%)
- 15:30 US Building Permits (Expectation: 1.495M Previous: 1.496M)
July 20, Thursday
- 04:15 PBOC Interest Rate (Previous: 3.55%)
- 15:30 US Continuing Jobless Claims (Expectation: 1.725K Previous: 1.729K)
- 15:30 US Initial Jobless Claims (Expectation: 243K Previous: 237K)
- 17:00 US Existing Home Sales (Expectation: 4.23M Previous: 4.3M)
- 14:00 CBRT Interest Rate Decision (Previous: 15%)
- IoTeX (IOTX) V1.11.0 Hardfork
- Cartesi (CTSI) Web 3.0 Meetup
July 21, Friday
- Blockchain Oracle Summit
July 22, Saturday
- ID Token Token Launch ($4.08 million)
- AXS Token Launch ($21.34 million)
Impact on Cryptocurrencies
We will see important signals regarding the employment side in the US. If initial jobless claims come in above expectations, we may see rapid increases in cryptocurrencies, as we have seen many times in the past. The CBRT decision is also very important this month. Investors in Turkey are closely monitoring TRY pairs, and there is a possibility of raising interest rates to 20%. This could lead to a slight retreat of the US dollar and the appreciation of the Turkish lira. Moreover, the tightening of fiscal policies and increased taxes indicate that we may need to tighten our belts even more in the future.
On the other hand, token launches are very important in terms of altcoins. Two major crypto events will take place in the coming days. Here, we may see projects announcing their major plans/partnerships to take advantage of the recent market rally.
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