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The cryptocurrency markets have experienced increased volatility since Trump’s presidency. However, there have been numerous positive developments supporting price stability in the long term. Over the past month, a particular analyst has accurately predicted major market movements but recently missed a bearish prediction amidst an Iranian ceasefire, leading to speculation. The assumption of his inaccuracy can only be confirmed over time. Today, the “know-it-all” analyst shared a new perspective.
Insights from the Know-It-All Crypto Analyst
The title “know-it-all” might initially sound absurd, yet it has been applicable to certain analysts at different times. Towards the end of 2021, PlanB gained prominence with successful bullish forecasts. In 2022, Capo emerged as a bear, accurately predicting downturns following each rise. Recently, Roman Trading has been correct in his bearish predictions for the past month.
According to his analysis, numerous indicators have historically pointed to BTC reaching its peak. Although the Iranian conflict initially supported his bearish stance, the ceasefire changed the narrative, causing BTC to reclaim the $106,000 level. Contrary to expectations, a crash resembling that of 2021 did not occur. BTC lingered at six-figure levels long enough to challenge the view that these levels represented an ultimate peak, which would typically manifest and reverse within days.
The once “all-knowing” analyst, Roman Trading, shared additional thoughts in his latest evaluation.
He mentioned, “Most people who sold have reinvested their capital elsewhere, indicating a lack of concern for BTC’s future performance in the upcoming year. There’s no logic to keeping cash idle. The goal of investing is to have your money work for you!”
U.S. Announcements and Bitcoin (BTC)
The European Union plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. imports, including Boeing aircraft, should Trump introduce a base tax on EU goods. This development is unfavorable, as further complications arise just as prior issues are being resolved, a situation presumably not welcomed by Trump.
John Williams from the Federal Reserve remarked that tariffs could currently add a quarter-point to inflation, yet this isn’t deterring rate cuts. With interest rates above 4% and inflation below 3%, the question remains how long the Fed will maintain higher rates without provoking Trump. Jerome Powell’s term as Fed Chair is set to conclude in May 2026.
Treasury Secretary Bessent, speaking during this article’s preparation, noted ongoing tax and trade agreement negotiations, with plans to vote on these on Friday. Following the passage of the July 4th tax bill, trade agreements would be finalized. Though no default is imminent, caution is warranted as the U.S. approaches its borrowing limit.
Meanwhile, Fed’s Kashkari discussed his observations from businesses, which report strong fundamentals but concerns over tariffs. These tariffs introduce complexity, and while inflation remains above 2%, the Fed has made significant progress. They are observing to assess the tariffs’ inflationary impact before altering policies. The effect of tariffs remains uncertain from a policy standpoint.
Lastly, Michael Poppe continues to boost market confidence. He anticipates a potential all-time high in July, asserting an imminent significant breakout. According to him, the strong current price action suggests all-time highs are merely a matter of time.
