Last week’s employment figures, along with recent Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, have provided much-needed relief for cryptocurrencies. Investors previously viewed discussions on tariffs as a signal to sell due to perceived inflationary effects. However, even with global rates implemented in August, inflation did not surge as anticipated.
Cryptocurrencies Surge Forward
For years, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has pursued an inflation-focused policy, often disregarding employment figures. Now the time has come for the Fed to pay attention to employment metrics. More importantly, tariffs have not caused the feared inflation, yet employment numbers are sounding significant alarms. Each employment report indicates the severity of the shrinking job market.
Since early 2022, the Fed increased interest rates and paused its rate cuts nearly a year ago. The institution now sees the necessity of resuming steady rate cuts. A smooth landing is unlikely, but the huge impact of tariffs on inflation has not materialized as feared.
Markets must prepare for a scenario in which the Fed consistently reduces rates. Bitcoin (BTC) 
$82,774 celebrated the recent data by surpassing $114,000, a significant price point that underscores the Fed’s future policy direction.
Fed’s Commitment to Rate Reductions
Last month’s PPI data exceeded expectations, yet Fed Chair Powell emphasized focusing on easing employment pressures, hinting at the need for rate reductions. Following his remarks, more adverse employment data emerged alongside improved inflation reports.
Furthermore, the decision to suspend Fed member Cook’s dismissal reinforced the independence of the Fed. As the upcoming rate decision in six days is expected to bring a 25 basis point cut, the outlook anticipates a 75 basis point reduction by year-end, a forecast far lower than previously expected.
With this backdrop, Powell may face pressure for rate cuts before leaving the institution, aligning with an incoming chairman more in tune with global policy relaxation. Such a shift could alter risk market projections favorably.
If upcoming reports for October, November, and December align with this trajectory, cryptocurrencies are likely to pursue new peaks with each release. Meanwhile, reserve maneuvers, along with Altcoin ETF approvals, will support investors through positive news flows.
