Large XRP holders are continuing to accumulate tokens as prices hover in the $1.00 to $1.20 range, according to blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant. The company reported that a neutral flow in spot market orders suggests quiet absorption by these major investors, signaling a period of steady accumulation rather than panic selling.
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AAPLWhale activity and order flow
CryptoQuant observed that the biggest XRP cohorts have been adding to their positions while spot order sizes remain dominated by these large investors, or “whales.” Julio Moreno, CryptoQuant’s head of research, wrote that this buying trend helps to alleviate downward price pressure and typically aligns with the market’s final bear cycle phase.
“This positioning lowers downside pressure and is consistent with the final phase of the cycle’s decline,” Moreno noted in the firm’s recent weekly report.
Despite holding near a $66 billion market capitalization, XRP’s 90-day taker cumulative volume delta—a measure that captures the net aggressive buying or selling—has moved to neutral. CryptoQuant identified this as evidence of a calm market environment where significant investors are holding steady, neither forcing prices lower nor initiating a breakout to the upside.
Mini dictionary: Taker cumulative volume delta (CVD), a metric that calculates the sum of aggressive market buys versus market sells over a period, providing insights into whether buying or selling pressure dominates in a market.
On-chain trends and technical analysis
XRP’s realized price, which reflects the average value investors paid for their holdings, stands at approximately $0.75, compared to the current spot price near $1.10. CryptoQuant described this situation as typical of a “late-bear-market zone,” in which the spot price remains higher than the realized price but does not signal the start of a new uptrend.
At the time of reporting, XRP traded at $1.05 on Binance, down 1.4% for the day. The price has settled into a flat, consolidating pattern rather than experiencing a sharp decline, reinforcing the view that the market is stabilizing rather than capitulating.
Technical indicators
An analysis of XRP’s daily chart shows that the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) remains below the 200-day EMA, forming a “death cross,” which many traders interpret as a bearish signal. The token’s current price continues to trade below both moving averages, positioning it within the consolidation zone between $1.30 and $1.60. While a death cross traditionally signals ongoing bearish momentum, it is also regarded as a lagging indicator confirming the current downward trend.
Other technical measures such as the relative strength index (RSI) and the average directional index (ADX) suggest muted momentum. With an RSI reading of 39.5 and an ADX level of 10.4, analysts see little indication of strong trend direction, with volatility remaining compressed.
| Indicator | Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| 50-day EMA | Below 200-day EMA | Bearish (death cross) |
| RSI | 39.5 | Weak momentum, below bullish threshold |
| ADX | 10.4 | No strong trend |
| Realized Price | $0.75 | Below market price |
| Current Price | $1.05 | Stabilizing |
Support, resistance, and outlook
Analysts indicated that XRP is exhibiting a basing pattern typical of the late phase in a bear market, with prices consolidating after falling from around $2.20 in early 2026 to current levels near $1. CryptoQuant’s data show that whales are absorbing supply, not selling, which supports the view of a potential bottoming range rather than a further breakdown.
However, there is still no technical confirmation of a market rebound. A daily close above the 200-day EMA, which currently sits near $1.12, would signal a potential shift in momentum and validate the ongoing accumulation phase.
Support remains at $1.04, the lower boundary of the consolidation range. A break below this level could see XRP test support at $0.9167, with further downside risk to $0.8358. On the upside, resistance lies at the $1.1145 Fibonacci level, with a more significant barrier at $1.60.
