Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has released a chart analysis indicating that XRP’s next major market cycle bottom could reach $3.50, approximately three times its recent price of $1.16. His projection was further discussed by content creator Moon Lambo, who shared a video breaking down the scenario for his followers.
XRP fractal forecasts higher crash bottom
Egrag Crypto introduced a technical pattern he calls the “green fractal,” which, by projecting historical XRP price structures into future cycles, suggests that even after a significant market downturn, XRP could stabilize at a much higher baseline. According to the fractal, the next future crash could see a bottom at the $3.50 level.
At current values near $1.16, this level would mark a substantial shift upward compared to XRP’s previous bear market lows.
Egrag Crypto’s analysis highlights, “The next crash bottom may arrive at $3.50, which is three times higher than today’s price.”
Mini dictionary: Egrag Crypto is an independent analyst known for sharing technical analysis and fractal patterns focused on major cryptocurrencies.
Moon Lambo analyzes the drawdown scenario
Content creator Moon Lambo discussed the analysis, explaining that even if XRP reached a hypothetical peak of $20 and then declined by 80%, the resulting price would be around $4. He argued that such a floor would be consistent with previous market cycles and not surprising from a historical perspective.
Moon Lambo emphasized that his comments were meant as illustrative and not as hard predictions. He stated that he chose $20 as an example, not as a firm target, and acknowledged the risks involved in projecting future prices.
He stated, “The idea that the bottom could be way higher than where we are right now, historically within norms, yeah, I would not be surprised at all.”
Dollar-cost averaging and accumulation strategy
In his video, Moon Lambo advocated for a dollar-cost averaging approach instead of trying to time the market perfectly. He questioned whether minor price differences would matter in the long term if XRP’s price were to move to significantly higher levels.
He described his personal investment strategy as accumulating over various price points across time, maintaining XRP as his largest position despite experiencing prolonged periods where his investment was underwater.
Possible price roadmap and risk factors
Egrag Crypto’s original post outlined a possible progression for XRP in the next major cycle, with reference points at $3.43, $4.99, $8.59, and $13.89, and noted the potential for higher targets if the pattern plays out completely. He pointed to XRP’s recovery from significant crashes and ongoing SEC legal challenges as factors that, in his view, demonstrate the asset’s resilience.
Mini dictionary: The SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) is the primary regulatory body for securities markets in the United States and has been involved in lengthy litigation with Ripple regarding XRP’s status as a security.
Both Egrag Crypto and Moon Lambo cautioned that no price projection is guaranteed. They noted the risk of fractals failing and stressed that their outlook is based on historical patterns rather than certainty. As part of his closing message, Egrag reminded followers that the price investors are hesitant to buy at today could become highly attractive in a future bear market.
| Price Reference | Projected Level |
|---|---|
| Current XRP Price | $1.16 |
| Proposed Cycle Bottom | $3.50 |
| Cited Hypothetical Peak | $20 |
| 80% Drawdown from Peak | $4.00 |
| Other Fractal Targets | $3.43, $4.99, $8.59, $13.89 |
