Hedera (HBAR) is drawing renewed market attention as it maintains its long-term trendline structure, while short-term indicators point to continued weakness. Growing integration of artificial intelligence (AI) within the network has kept the project in focus, leading traders to evaluate if the token can regain its recent strength and resume a broader upward move.
Technical analysis and trendline support
Technical analyst Moutace emphasized that HBAR has consistently respected the same long-term trendline since 2020, with each major touch marking a key support point. This trendline remains intact, reinforcing the overall pattern for Hedera even as the token experiences short-term setbacks.
Moutace pointed out that several altcoins have sustained critical support zones, raising expectations for a renewed move towards $0.26 if overall market sentiment improves. The view suggests that HBAR, along with selected altcoins, could see a technical breakout in the event of broad-based sector strength.
HBAR’s recurring defense of its multi-year trendline indicates that the digital asset remains inside a larger technical formation, rather than undergoing a structural breakdown.
Data from TradingView shows that HBAR rebounded from its August low near $0.065, climbing above $0.085 during a late-summer rally. However, selling pressure soon returned, pushing the token to lower levels and below a key moving-average line.
Momentum indicators and key support levels
Currently, HBAR trades around $0.07543, below its 20-day simple moving average of $0.07676. The Bollinger Bands, a technical indicator that measures volatility, continue to act as dynamic support and resistance for price action.
A sustained dip below the 20-day SMA could open the door to support near $0.07158. Conversely, reclaiming this moving average may pave the way for a test of resistance around $0.0820.
Short-term momentum indicators reflect caution. The MACD histogram has turned negative to -0.00055, and the blue MACD line has slipped beneath the orange signal line, signaling weakened buying momentum. This interplay suggests that the token remains in a neutral zone between key support and resistance thresholds.
Should further selling emerge, HBAR risks retesting support at $0.07158, while a reversal above the 20-day SMA could bring resistance at $0.0820 back into focus.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Current price | $0.07543 |
| 20-day SMA | $0.07676 |
| Support | $0.07158 |
| Resistance | $0.0820 |
Derivatives market dynamics
Derivatives data from Coinglass reveals increasing trading activity. HBAR’s trading volume expanded by 45.38% to reach $137.71 million. In contrast, open interest fell by 6.05% to $106.74 million. This combination suggests profit-taking, position closures, and heightened short-term volatility, rather than a strong directional conviction among traders.
When trading volume grows but open interest declines, it often points to market participants reducing their positions instead of building new ones. This behavior typically occurs near important technical support or resistance zones.
AI integration and Hedera network upgrades
Alongside its market performance, Hedera continues to expand its technological capabilities by adopting artificial intelligence in its infrastructure. The network’s MCP (Modular Communication Protocol) and Wallet Connector have gone live, enabling users to perform transactions on Hedera through an AI agent powered by Claude Code.
Using this new feature, users can connect supported wallets such as HashPack and Kabila to initiate and sign transactions within the Hedera ecosystem. The integration aims to boost developer engagement by linking AI-enabled platforms with Hedera’s transactional network, potentially broadening the scope of interactions and applications within the platform.
Mini dictionary: Claude Code, an AI agent and coding assistant developed by Anthropic, facilitates interactions and automates workflows within software environments using advanced artificial intelligence.
This evolving infrastructure and the interplay of technical signals offer traders important markers for assessing HBAR’s next moves. Immediate attention remains on the $0.07158 support and the 20-day SMA at $0.07676, with future price direction likely determined by the token’s response to these technical levels.
