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Cryptocurrencies follow distinct four-year cycles shaped by halving events and influenced by Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. During each cycle, the total market value of cryptocurrencies and the price of BTC reach all-time highs, only to dip during bear markets without falling below the peak of the previous cycle. What do experts predict for this year?
The Current Crypto Cycle
In recent bear markets, BTC’s price dropping below $20,000 suggested that the current cycle may deviate from previous ones. A significant factor leading to this perception includes events like the approval of ETFs and the collapse of FTX, preventing the previous BTC all-time high (ATH) from acting as a support level. Changes in U.S. crypto policy further contribute to this departure from established patterns. Despite these shifts, longstanding interest rate reversals also play a crucial role.
Multiple factors, both advantageous and challenging, have distinguished this cycle. A comprehensive evaluation by DaanCrypto highlights the crypto cycle’s intricate developments. The consistent observation through different cycles is a prediction of altered durations for each, yet historically, BTC cycles have consistently spanned about four years, largely attributed to halving events. Until this trend conclusively ends, it’s merely assumptions that drive these discussions.
The consistent cycle trend remains a fundamental model in the crypto world. Particularly when a consensus arises advocating for a deviation from this trend, experts strengthen their adherence to traditional beliefs. Although there are numerous potential disruptions and BTC’s influence in maturing markets, sticking to a broad strategy over immediate market reactions remains crucial for investors. Despite miscalculations earlier this year about reaching peaks, the current projections suggest a cycle extending potentially to late 2026, albeit possibly exaggerated.
Experts anticipate a market peak similar to 2021 before this year ends. Should interest rates resolve and the expected altcoin ETF approvals occur by November, these predictions may bear out. However, changes in direction will be met with adaptability, recognizing the persistent guideline of a four-year cycle as 2025 nears.
Prospects for ETH and XRP
Resolving the issue of tariffs is expected to liberate cryptocurrencies from the metaphorical nets restraining their growth. The wider uncertainty imposed by tariffs is seen as the primary hurdle for crypto development. As we approach the deadline of July 9, various trade agreements will shape how this uncertainty unfolds.
Analyst “Yoddha” is confident in the resolution of the tariff issues. Using the shared data, a movement aiming towards $4,000 soon is anticipated. 
Meanwhile, XRP Coin is gearing up to reclaim $2.33, with targets set at $2.55 and $2.75. As BTC waits for volatility, XRP Coin is considering a path within the $1.98 to $2.55 range, settling its direction. 
