XRP, Ripple Labs’ digital asset, is attracting renewed attention following a technical analysis from the widely followed crypto analyst known as Dark Defender. After years of consolidation amid intense legal pressure, XRP’s price structure has shifted, with analysts pointing to strong support on major moving averages.
Key technical levels and historical support
Dark Defender, who frequently shares technical insights on social media, centered his latest analysis on the 100-month exponential moving average (EMA). He described this level as “The Unbreachable,” highlighting its repeated success as dynamic support during XRP’s multi-year legal dispute with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
Throughout the prolonged SEC lawsuit, XRP never closed below the 100-month EMA on the monthly chart. Multiple price tests saw the asset recover strongly, reinforcing this level as an important zone for long-term buyers. Even after the case concluded in 2025, the EMA held firm as support. XRP experienced notable volatility after reaching its all-time high in July 2025, eventually retracing toward the 100-month EMA. A quick rebound followed, as the price climbed over 50% in just 65 hours. By August, XRP closed above both the 100-month and 50-month EMAs, continuing its historical pattern of defending these trends.
The technical review emphasized: “XRP is above the Ichimoku Clouds, the 100-month EMA is well defended, and the August candle closed above the 50-month EMA. All three conditions align for the first time. XRP is ready.”
Three technical conditions align
According to Dark Defender, three vital technical checkpoints now favor a bullish scenario for XRP. Firstly, the cryptocurrency trades above the Ichimoku Cloud on the monthly timeframe—a signal watched by trend-following traders. Secondly, the 100-month EMA has repeatedly acted as an unbroken support zone, helping trigger rallies in the past, such as the 500% surge witnessed at the end of 2024. Thirdly, XRP’s close above the 50-month EMA in August marks renewed buying pressure from long-term investors.
ETH
SOL
BSC
ROBINHOOD
USDT
AAPLAll three conditions are currently met for the first time this cycle, creating a potential setup for extended upward movement.
Mini dictionary: Ichimoku Cloud, a technical indicator combining moving averages and price action to outline support, resistance, and trend direction in trading charts. Traders use the “cloud” to identify bullish or bearish conditions.
Fibonacci price targets and resistance levels
Dark Defender’s monthly chart incorporates a Fibonacci extension structure that plots several price targets above the current trading range. These extension levels include 61.80% at $1.3798, 161.80% at $1.8815, 261.80% at $4.1043, 361.80% at $18.2275, and 423.60% at $36.7676, suggesting a broad zone for potential future advances. XRP’s present value is close to the 61.80% level.
| Fibonacci Level | Price Target |
|---|---|
| 61.80% | $1.3798 |
| 161.80% | $1.8815 |
| 261.80% | $4.1043 |
| 361.80% | $18.2275 |
| 423.60% | $36.7676 |
These targets mark a broad potential upside zone as further momentum develops. The next significant resistance appears near the $1.38 region according to the analyst’s chart.
XRP’s current status and outlook
At present, XRP trades close to $1.36, hovering near the first Fibonacci target. Although the pace of recent gains has slowed, the asset continues to hold above crucial monthly moving averages and resistance levels.
Dark Defender emphasizes that the confluence of robust support at the 100-month EMA, the position above the Ichimoku Cloud, and the monthly close above the 50-month EMA signals a shift in technical structure. He maintains that these factors together indicate XRP could be on the verge of a significant price movement.
The analysis outlines: “XRP has successfully defended the key 100-month EMA and is currently operating above all major moving averages, with multiple bullish signals aligning for the first time.”
