XRP is facing one of its worst November performances in over a decade, according to data compiled by EGRAG CRYPTO. The digital asset has dropped 19.2% so far in November 2026, matching the losses recorded in November 2018 and trailing only 2019, which posted a 23.6% decline. The month is not yet over, leaving open the possibility of further volatility before the close.
Historical volatility for XRP in November
EGRAG CRYPTO reviewed more than 14 years of XRP’s monthly data, highlighting that November tends to be a particularly turbulent period for the token. While the historical average for November is a gain of 78.3%, the median result stands at a loss of 9.1%. This year’s performance falls well below both indicators, underlining how strongly the current market downturn deviates from the usual pattern.
November is living up to its reputation for volatility in the XRP market, and the current year is confirming that trend. Historically, performances have ranged widely, but 2026 stands out as an exceptionally weak month for XRP.
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EGRAG CRYPTO maintains bullish outlook
Despite sharp losses this month, EGRAG CRYPTO remains optimistic about XRP’s prospects. He remarked that he is “firmly in the bullish camp,” arguing that drawdowns as severe as this November’s often precede major reversals. EGRAG CRYPTO pointed to historical precedent, noting that past poor Novembers for XRP have been followed by substantial recoveries.
He believes that current bearish sentiment and fear are setting the stage for a strong rebound. He emphasized that “the bigger the fear, the sweeter the comeback,” suggesting that market conditions may soon favor a shift back to positive momentum. His analysis frames the present weakness not as a cause for alarm, but as part of a setup for a potential move higher.
ChartNerd anticipated correction after strong quarter
Another analyst, ChartNerd, added further context to XRP’s performance. He stated that after a summer quarter in which XRP posted positive returns for July, August, and September—estimated at around 2%, 30%, and 7.95% respectively—a correction in November seemed increasingly likely.
ChartNerd also accurately forecasted XRP’s decline below $1 on two occasions, including a prediction less than a month before the current drop. With the token now trading at $0.99, his assessment of the asset’s short-term moves has so far proven correct.
After delivering its first positive August during a midterm year, and closing a full quarter in positive territory for the first time, XRP’s rapid downturn in November aligns with expected market behavior following a period of sustained gains.
Outlook and ongoing uncertainty
EGRAG CRYPTO’s latest data suggest that XRP’s recent decline resembles previous patterns rather than signaling a breakdown. He continues to anticipate an “explosive move” higher, viewing the current dip as a precursor to renewed bullish momentum.
With November not yet closed, questions remain about whether this year will ultimately become the worst November in XRP’s history, or if an end-of-month turnaround will materialize. Investors are watching closely for signs of stabilization and the potential for a reversal before December begins.
