XRP risks major drop if 9-year trendline breaks, analyst JD warns

XRP faces a critical technical juncture that could dictate its price trajectory for the foreseeable future, according to cryptocurrency analyst JD, known as @jaydee_757. His most recent analysis spotlights XRP’s performance on the two-week chart, referencing technical structures that have guided the asset’s behavior since 2018.

Approaching a pivotal technical zone

JD highlighted that XRP currently sits near the intersection of two major trendlines. One is a descending resistance line dating back to the 2018 peak, and the other is a rising support line that stretches across several notable market lows.

The proximity to these trendlines has formed a broad triangular pattern that has shaped XRP’s longer-term price movements. This triangle’s boundaries now coincide with key price levels, putting XRP at an important decision point.

The analyst cautioned that a confirmed breakdown below the 9-year trendline could initiate a steep decline. He characterized such a move as a possible setup for another significant buying opportunity, recalling previous cycles where comparable declines preceded extended market rallies.

A former resistance re-tested

XRP decisively broke out of the triangle pattern in late 2024, moving above resistance and eventually achieving a new all-time high of $0.365 in July 2025. Following this surge, the asset entered a retracement phase that has brought its price back toward the former resistance line.

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This area now acts as a key support level. Technical analysts often observe how assets interact with such historical boundaries, as a failure to hold could point toward deeper losses.

JD’s chart suggests a heightened probability that XRP could fail to sustain support at this level, setting the stage for a more substantial correction.

Analyst expects possible move lower

JD’s outlook focuses on the risk associated with breaching the long-standing trendline. His analysis indicates that XRP could revisit its rising support line, which has marked major lows in years such as 2020, 2022, and 2024.

Historically, this trendline has provided reliable support, triggering significant upward price actions after each test. Should XRP approach this level again, it may experience a deeper retracement before stabilizing.

JD described the potential drop as a “biggest opportunity of a lifetime,” drawing parallels with previous cycles that led to market surges following deep corrections.

Preparing for a possible worst-case scenario ahead of the next major peak expected around 2028, JD’s analysis emphasizes vigilance over the coming weeks. He pointed to prior instances in which XRP rebounded strongly from similar setups.

Mini dictionary: Trendline — In technical analysis, a trendline is a straight line connecting two or more price points on a chart and is typically used to identify underlying support or resistance levels.

Long-term outlook and cycle development

JD’s broader thesis is that a successful test and rebound from the rising trendline might set the groundwork for another significant surge in XRP. He expects any pullback to create an attractive entry before a potential rally that could culminate in the next crypto cycle’s peak around 2028.

His analysis outlines a sequence: XRP is currently retesting a former resistance as support. If the asset breaks down and approaches the rising trendline, and if historical patterns hold, a robust recovery could follow, forming the next major XRP cycle.