XRP is approaching another critical price test as market data points to a possible retest of the $1.35 to $1.38 support area before a potential rebound. Recent research from Bitrue Research Institute indicates a divergence between Futures buyers’ enthusiasm and more restrained activity in Spot markets.
Market structure and momentum
The Institute’s AI-driven crypto indicators reveal that leveraged long positions remain heavily populated, while significant whale activity is subdued. This creates a delicate balance that could lead to sharp price movements.
A senior analyst at Bitrue Research Institute explained, the tension is visible between crowded leveraged long bets and quieter whale movements, with Bitrue’s AI models warning of Neutral momentum, a flat trend, and high long ratios. The analyst highlighted, “We expect XRP to test the $1.35–1.38 zone first before any meaningful rebound can develop.”
This market setup increases the risk of rapid liquidation cascades if XRP’s price encounters additional selling pressure. The analyst pointed out that, although exchange-side supply is declining, large holders have not delivered significant inflows to support price levels.
Bitrue Research Institute’s data reflects this pattern: whale inflows over a three-month average have dropped sharply to $61 million, which is the lowest level recorded since 2021.
Key price levels
The immediate focus is on the $1.38 support line, which now frames the discussion for bullish moves. If XRP holds this level, analysts see a path toward $1.50, with $1.45 acting as a pivotal checkpoint on the way up.
Other market indicators suggest slightly bearish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 45.05, hinting at mild overselling. The MACD remains below its signal line with a negative histogram, and the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is still negative on most time frames, aside from short-term charts where bulls are defending $1.38.
Whale flows and ETF impact
The interplay between large holders and broader market sentiment is expected to drive the next phase. If whales return to accumulate XRP, external factors such as Wall Street influence could catalyze stronger upside. XRP-focused exchange-traded funds have reported $11.3 million in five-day net inflows, and Evernorth is set to launch an XRP-exclusive treasury on NASDAQ with the XRPN ticker.
Despite these developments, experts caution that hesitation among large investors could send XRP back to the $1.35 to $1.38 liquidity pockets before any attempt to reclaim $1.50.
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Recent coverage and industry outlook
Elsewhere in crypto markets, other tokens are drawing attention for technical reasons. HBAR has seen activity around the $0.40 area amid a prolonged compression phase, and Cardano’s supporters are discussing renewed price targets as network upgrades go live.
Analysts continue to monitor inflows, technical indicators, and whale behavior to gauge the next significant move for XRP and similar assets.
