The Federal Reserve released the latest meeting minutes, indicating that its victory over inflation is not yet guaranteed. This development, combined with strong employment data released last Friday, increased the likelihood of a 25 basis point interest rate cut in November from 67.9% to 83.7%.
U.S. Stock Markets Rise While Crypto Faces Pressure
QCP Capital highlights that market attention is currently focused on the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) and tomorrow’s Producer Price Index (PPI) data. These figures are crucial for assessing the strength of the U.S. economy alongside earnings reports from major banks (JPM/WFC) as inflation cools.
According to QCP Capital analysts, while the U.S. stock indices saw an increase last night and the S&P 500 reached a new peak, this optimism is not reflected in the crypto market. Renewed selling pressures on Bitcoin (BTC) 
$76,830 and Ethereum (ETH) 
$2,273 have intensified due to BTC sales linked to Silk Road and ETH sales related to PlusToken.
Despite the pressure on the crypto market, analysts continue to believe that if Bitcoin maintains its $60,000 support, an “Uptober” rally could still occur.
Critical Data and Year-End Expectations
Analysts indicate that this week’s significant risk factors for the market include the upcoming U.S. CPI and PPI data, along with the earnings reports from big banks. The flow of information from this side will play a vital role in determining the Fed’s future interest rate decisions. While markets expect further rate cuts, they prefer to lock in yields at these lower levels and position themselves for a year-end rally. Analysts also warn that if the Fed adopts a less dovish stance, market volatility could persist.
According to QCP Capital, the slowing inflation process and robust labor market in the U.S. may lead investors to adopt a more cautious approach in the near term. The market is expected to shape itself based on the outcomes of critical data during this crucial period.
