XRP is currently trading near $1.55, but analyst Egrag Crypto has identified a technical setup that he believes could spark a substantial upward move for the token.
Compression and expansion patterns on monthly chart
In his recent analysis on the social media platform X, Egrag Crypto compared XRP’s current monthly structure to four previous instances in which the asset went through a period of price compression, followed by a rapid expansion.
Each of these historical patterns led to approximate gains of 500%. The analyst’s chart highlights these cycles, suggesting that XRP may be approaching a similar moment for the fifth time since its inception.
Egrag Crypto referenced the monthly EMA Ribbon, a technical indicator based on a series of exponential moving averages, as the primary tool in his analysis. He pointed out that periods of price compression around this ribbon have previously signaled the start of significant price rises in XRP’s history.
He identified four clear examples where compression near the monthly EMA Ribbon preceded a strong breakout, with each cycle moving from lower price zones, such as $0.0256, $0.0554, $1.6387, and $3.0730, into a new expansion phase. The analyst now sees another compression forming and is monitoring for a potential repeat.
Mini dictionary: EMA Ribbon, a technical analysis indicator made of several exponential moving averages plotted on a chart to visualize price trends and potential support or resistance zones. Traders often use it to assess trend direction and spot consolidation or breakout areas.
Egrag Crypto noted that, “Sometimes the simplest strategy is the hardest one: buy, DCA, wait. Look at the monthly EMA Ribbon history. Each compression led to about 500% expansion.”
XRP’s upside target: $9–$10
According to Egrag Crypto’s projections, a repeat of the historical pattern would see XRP rally as much as 500%, reaching a target zone between $9 and $10. His technical chart specifically places a potential peak at $10.0258, but he describes the $9–$10 zone as the region to watch if the compression and expansion structure continues.
The analyst emphasized that while previous cycles all delivered similar expansion moves, there is no guarantee the next one will match the past exactly. However, he believes the current technical pattern justifies a bullish outlook on XRP over a longer time frame.
| Cycle | Compression Zone | Expansion Peak | Approximate % Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $0.0256 | $0.128 | 500% |
| 2 | $0.0554 | $0.277 | 500% |
| 3 | $1.6387 | $8.1935 | 500% |
| 4 | $3.0730 | $15.365 | 500% |
| 5 (Current) | $1.55 | $9–$10 (Projected) | 500% (Projected) |
He observed that, “The structure I am tracking on the monthly chart is identical to previous cycles. If it plays out once again, we could see an expansion to the $9–$10 region.”
Focus on long-term strategy
Egrag Crypto advised XRP investors to focus on the bigger picture and confirmed his preference for a long-term approach. He advocates for a strategy involving incremental purchasing, known as dollar-cost averaging (DCA), and patience during consolidation periods rather than attempting to time every short-term fluctuation.
According to Egrag Crypto, the current setup reinforces his conviction that broader price trends and technical patterns matter more than daily or weekly volatility. He encourages market participants to develop investment plans around these recurring cycles, especially as XRP’s monthly chart continues to mirror historical phases of accumulation and breakout.
For now, Egrag Crypto is closely monitoring the behavior of XRP around the monthly EMA Ribbon. A confirmation of the expected pattern could validate his thesis of a move toward the $9–$10 target in line with prior market cycles.
