Ethereum traded around $1,670 on the day, up about 1% in the last 24 hours, but the overall price outlook suggests weakness is persisting. Widespread macroeconomic pressures and ongoing geopolitical tensions have, since mid May, continued to limit a meaningful recovery for ETH, leaving bulls hesitating at current levels.
The critical $1,700 threshold in the technical outlook
Industry analyst Ted notes that ETH price remains trapped in a bearish flag pattern, a technical formation often viewed as a signal for further declines. Unless Ethereum can stage a strong breakout above this pattern, downward pressure is likely to persist in the coming days.
Glossary: A bear flag forms after a steep drop, then a brief sideways or slightly upward consolidation. Analysts view this pattern as a warning that the broader downtrend could continue.
Ted says that Ethereum is still moving within this bear flag. He believes if the price breaks decisively above $1,700, targets between $1,850 and $1,900 may quickly come into focus. Otherwise, if bulls fail, a drop toward the $1,500 range could be back on the table.
Many technical analysts agree that Ethereum would need a daily close above the crucial $1,700 resistance to reinvigorate buyer enthusiasm. If this scenario unfolds, a run toward the $1,850 to $1,900 region becomes likely. Failing to surpass this level, however, might see sellers regaining the upper hand and $1,500 support being tested again.
Massive ETH withdrawals from exchanges raise eyebrows
On the blockchain data front, there’s another storyline. Analyst Ali Charts flagged a noteworthy outflow of approximately 500,000 ETH—worth about $800 million—from centralized exchanges in the past week alone. Such large withdrawals are fueling talk that major investors are moving their holdings to private wallets, which some see as early signals of accumulation.
Ali Charts has observed that roughly 500,000 ETH was pulled from trading platforms over the last seven days, interpreting this as a possible early sign of accumulation.
However, network activity isn’t matching these bullish signals. On Thursday, active Ethereum wallet addresses dipped to around 480,000, well below the recent 554,000 mark and the 738,000 addresses seen at the end of April. As prices try to recover, weakening on-chain participation is being read as a lack of broad support for a sustained rally.
ETF outflows and derivatives add to selling pressure
Institutional sentiment was also soft during the week. Spot Ethereum ETF products recorded a net outflow of $16 million on Thursday. This followed $41 million in outflows on Tuesday and $36 million on Wednesday, marking the third consecutive day of investors pulling money from ETH funds.
In the derivatives market, open interest in Ethereum futures dropped to $22.98 billion by Friday, down from $30.95 billion at the start of the month. Meanwhile, technical indicators reinforce the bearish trend: The MACD sits below its signal line, suggesting that sellers remain in control, and the RSI is hovering just above 30, indicating ETH is approaching oversold territory but lacking a decisive reversal signal for now.
Additional market data reveals that ETH’s price lags well below its key exponential moving averages. The 50, 100, and 200 day EMAs currently stand at $2,000, $2,148, and $2,405, respectively, while spot price is recorded at $1,688. No confirmed bullish reversal signal has appeared on the daily chart so far.
