Bitcoin remains above $86,000, providing underlying strength to the broader cryptocurrency market, but market attention is now shifting to Shiba Inu as it enters October—a month that has historically favored the token.
Strong quarterly performance and historical momentum
Shiba Inu just closed the third quarter with a 39.3% gain, a result that breaks with its usual Q3 trend. According to data from CryptoRank, the token typically declines during this period, so the recent series of three consecutive monthly gains marks a notable shift for SHIB, reminiscent of momentum last seen during its 2021 rally.
While many investors are focusing on October’s average return of 167.5%, this figure is significantly skewed by the eye-catching 833% surge in 2021. Adjusting for that outlier, the median October return for SHIB is a much more modest 6.04%.
October’s historical win rate for Shiba Inu stands at 80%. In all recorded years, the token has only ended October in negative territory once, underscoring this period as its most consistent for price appreciation.
Analysts have suggested that this consistency could become a defining theme for the market in the coming weeks. However, they caution that a closer look at statistical data and the structure of price movements remains crucial to managing expectations.
Technical signals and renewed whale activity
At present, SHIB trades at $0.0000058569, bringing its market capitalization to $3.45 billion after a 6.73% increase over the past week. TradingView chart analysis points to a confirmed reversal for the memecoin: the price established support at a $2.21 billion market cap and broke a two-year descending wedge pattern, forming a distinctive double bottom.
The relative strength index (RSI) currently sits at 52.28 and has shown two bullish divergences, reinforcing observations that SHIB is subject to sustained accumulation.
To confirm the start of a broader rally, buyers must clear the immediate resistance at $0.00000626. If that level is breached, analysts identify a strategic target range between $0.00000950 and $0.00001100.
Large-scale investors have shown renewed interest. Over the last week, the volume of transactions valued at $100,000 or more rose by 14.8%. Whales are increasingly moving funds away from exchanges and into cold wallets, which tightens the circulating supply and could amplify upward price pressure.
Market psychology and critical risks
SHIB’s positive trajectory this October is tempered by broader market risks. A sudden reversal in Bitcoin’s trajectory could undermine recent gains, and medium-term traders may opt to sell positions as prices approach key resistance levels, potentially leading to quick corrections.
At the same time, carefully monitoring investor activity has become essential in the current landscape. In the meme token sector, viral trends can rapidly transform into significant trading activity. For example, Fomo App highlighted a recent trade in the “Niu Lai” token, where a $99 investment turned into approximately $370,000. Timing and strategic token selection play a crucial role for investors navigating these fast-moving markets. Fomo App combines token discovery, trading, social feeds, and investor rankings, enabling users to track top trades and stay updated with timely notifications—all key tools for following both meme tokens and broader investor behaviors.
Market observers note that Shiba Inu is making a measured emergence from a prolonged two-year period of stagnation, with October 2025 positioned as a potential turning point for the asset—provided enthusiasm does not eclipse underlying market signals.
