You must have noticed the uneasy atmosphere in the cryptocurrency markets, with BTC hovering below $37,000 again. The reason for this is the upcoming US inflation data to be announced in a few hours. So what are the expectations? Will the rise in cryptocurrencies continue? Here are all the details you need to know.
US Inflation Data
The US inflation data will be announced in a few hours, and it is expected to increase volatility. Although a further decline is expected based on previous data, surprise figures can catch investors off guard. However, a continued decrease in inflation will mean a moderate atmosphere for risk markets.
- Annual Expectation: 3.3% Previous: 3.7%
- Monthly Expectation: 0.1% Previous: 0.4%
- Core Inflation Expectation: 4.1%
Statements by Fed members throughout the week will be related to these data.
Bitcoin Price Analysis
CryptoQuant’s BTC exchange reserve data shows that when the price reached $38,000 last Thursday, the exchange reserves of Bitcoin were 2.01 million BTC. However, as of November 13, this number increased to 2.04 million BTC. This indicates that investors have deposited approximately $1.1 billion worth of BTC on exchanges. The additional supply that brings selling risk can cause the price to drop rapidly in case of unexpected developments, as a significant portion of the held Bitcoins are profitable.
Bitcoin (BTC) finds buyers at $36,768, and as long as the $34,400 level is maintained, the uptrend can continue. The area that was strongly defended as support in February and March 2022 has now turned into a challenging resistance. Looking at the positive side, today’s CoinShares report shows that institutional inflows continued in the past week. Since it would be surprising for the increasing institutional demand to suddenly disappear, monthly closing prices below $34,400 may not be likely.
According to all these, in the highly volatile environment expected this week, we may see a price approaching either $34,400 or $40,000. In the bearish environment where the cumulative value of cryptocurrencies can test the $1.25 trillion support, altcoins may experience surprise losses exceeding 20%.
