While short-term technical indicators for XRP signal limited momentum, several chart analysts point out that the price remains in a historically significant accumulation zone. They suggest that if XRP breaks through critical resistance levels, a broader recovery could be on the horizon.
The macro view: XRP’s accumulation phase
According to independent market analysts sharing long-term XRP/USDT charts, recent price compression appears more like a classic accumulation phase than the start of a new downward cycle. XRP is known as the native asset of the Ripple ecosystem, which focuses on payment infrastructure.
Analysis indicates that for nearly two years, XRP has formed a large symmetrical triangle on higher timeframes. The triangle’s lower boundary has repeatedly acted as macro support during previous corrections, with buyers stepping in around these levels.
One analyst argues that mechanical projections do not support the scenario of a bearish breakout, instead interpreting the current structure as a period of accumulation.
The assessment also identifies the grey zone surrounding the current price as an institutional buying range. Should XRP overcome the triangle resistance, the probability increases for a brief pullback followed by a push toward $1.50 and $1.90. Over a longer period, the $2.50 to $2.60 band is seen as a principal technical target and strong resistance zone.
Historical support levels take center stage
Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO also spotlights XRP’s historical macro accumulation range, utilizing the monthly Bent Fork chart. According to the analyst, XRP trades close to a key demand area between $0.85 and $1.20. In the current market cycle, the $0.85 to $1.10 band stands out as the main support region.
Glossary: The Bent Fork is a technical analysis method used to examine the slope and channel structure of price movements. Analysts use it on long-term charts to evaluate support, resistance, and probable directions.
EGRAG CRYPTO envisions that for a bullish scenario to gain traction, XRP must first reclaim the $1.65 level. After that, resistance zones at $3.00 and $3.50 could come into play. While a long-term projection includes a $15 target, this is presented as a broad scenario for the future, not as a near-term forecast.
EGRAG CRYPTO emphasizes that staying above the EMA band maintains the structure necessary for a solid price bottom.
Mixed signals in the short-term outlook
Shorter-term charts paint a more cautious picture. Another analyst points out that while the overall trend remains upward, XRP is currently trapped between the recent swing low near $1.0800 and resistance around $1.1825. In the near term, the $1.1015 mark is being watched as a key support.
Holding above this level could encourage the formation of higher lows and increase the chances of a continued uptrend. Conversely, a loss of support may prompt liquidity to shift below the recent lows, leading to heightened volatility.
Technical indicators reflect a balanced market
According to TradingView data, the overall technical outlook for XRP is neutral, comprising 11 sell, 9 neutral, and 6 buy signals. The RSI reads 46.70, Stochastic %K stands at 49.13, and CCI is at 18.07—all in neutral territory. The ADX is at a weak trend value of 17.60, while the momentum indicator (0.06743) and MACD (-0.01523) issue buy signals. However, the Awesome Oscillator, at -0.00971, remains on the sell side.
| Indicator | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI 14 | 46.70 | Neutral |
| ADX 14 | 17.60 | Weak trend |
| Momentum 10 | 0.06743 | Buy |
| MACD 12,26 | -0.01523 | Buy |
Moving averages create a more cautious backdrop. The 10-period EMA offers support at $1.10593, while the 20-period EMA places resistance at $1.11152. For higher timeframes, the 50 EMA stands at $1.17031, the 100 SMA at $1.28246, and the 200 SMA at $1.45840. This paints a picture of XRP trading below several key long-term trend indicators.
