Ethereum is currently trading in a critical area, as technical indicators present two interconnected yet divergent scenarios. On the one hand, the weekly chart identifies $1,100 as a principal support level. On the other hand, another technical perspective suggests the latest pullback could be the final correction before a powerful upward surge.
Key support level on the weekly chart
With ETH fluctuating around $1,570, the weekly technical outlook highlights $1,100 as the primary support zone for buyers to monitor. The inability of the price to hold above $2,900 in early 2026, followed by a continued downward move, points to weak short-term momentum.
Since 2021, the $1,100 level has served as a notable long-term support for Ethereum. Should prices return to this area and establish a base, it may offer a particularly attractive entry point for long-term spot investors.
If the $1,100 level is preserved, the first recovery target is $2,000. Should this region be surpassed, attention would then turn to $2,900 as the next significant resistance.
However, ETH has not yet tested the $1,100 threshold. Entering positions at the current $1,570 level exposes traders to uncertainty about whether lower support will hold. For a more robust technical setup, analysts seek a confirmed bounce near $1,100, a strong weekly close, or the formation of a higher low.
Unless such confirmation materializes, the risk of further downside is seen to persist. If $1,100 holds as support, $2,000 and subsequently $2,900 could come back into focus. Should momentum strengthen further, even $3,900 and $4,800 may once again become relevant targets.
Potential third wave in Elliott Wave analysis
In an alternative technical scenario, Ethereum, positioned near $1,623, is assessed by one analyst as undergoing a correction that forms part of a larger Elliott Wave structure. By this account, ETH completed a five-wave advance from the 2022 lows to the 2025 highs, finishing a primary first wave, and then entered an A-B-C corrective phase.
Glossary: Elliott Wave is a technical analysis method that interprets price actions as waves influenced by investor psychology. In this model, the third wave is usually the strongest segment of a bullish trend.
Current chart readings place ETH close to the bottom of the C wave. According to Elliott Wave principles, the completion of the second corrective wave could pave the way for a third, typically marked by robust upward momentum.
However, this bullish scenario has not yet been confirmed. The price remains near structural support after a sharp decline from $2,300. Signs of strength would involve a recovery above $1,700, followed by sustained moves targeting $1,900 and $2,300.
If ETH holds its current floor and weekly candles begin to close higher, confidence in the end of the second wave correction may grow. Conversely, if support fails and the price falls below the recent C wave bottom, this would weaken the bullish outlook, suggesting the correction is not yet over.
